By Christine Graf
Although the U.S. economy remains strong, August’s job report has some Wall Street analysts worried. Economists expected 175,000 jobs to be added to the U.S. economy, but data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the jobs number to be 114,000. Unemployment also inched up, rising from 4.1 percent to 4.3 percent.
“In the last several weeks, we have had some weaker than expected economic data,” said Ryan Bouchey, chief investment officer at Bouchey Financial Group, an investment management company with 20 employees and offices in Saratoga Springs, Troy, Boston, and Florida.
“People have been getting high yields on money markets and cash—in some cases over five percent–but with some of this weaker than expected economic data, the anticipation now is for the Fed to lower rates by seventy-five basis points to one hundred basis points before the end of the year,” he said.
The anticipated rate decrease will impact investors whose fixed income strategies have relied on high yield money markets and short-term CDs
“2022 was a terrible year for fixed income, but during the last twelve to eighteen months we’ve been at the highest level for fixed income yields in twenty years or so,” said Bouchey. “It was a great opportunity to lock in intermediate to longer- term rates, but that’s not going to work heading into 2025. In the current environment, those folks who have been sitting on cash–trying to get the highest yield–need to start thinking about what their longer-term strategy is. Because it’s pretty imminent that the Fed will be cutting rates.”